Crypto Contest March 7: Status Report XXXVIII

Asked by maarnio Promote - View in Hive.blog - Audit

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of January. There were 31 contests in January. I have already paid out / upvoted all of them. The analysis was correct 11 times, wrong four times and the cryptocurrency was in a range 16 times.

The correct ones were the following:

  1. Crypto Contest January 7: EOS
  2. Crypto Contest January 11: Eminer
  3. Crypto Contest January 12: TOP
  4. Crypto Contest January 13: Tap
  5. Crypto Contest January 14: Bitcoin
  6. Crypto Contest January 18: Steem
  7. Crypto Contest January 20: Tachyon Protocol
  8. Crypto Contest January 21: Radium
  9. Crypto Contest January 25: Celsius
  10. Crypto Contest January 26: Kleros
  11. Crypto Contest January 28: Dragonchain

In these contests the range option won:

  1. Crypto Contest January 2: LiquidApps
  2. Crypto Contest January 3: Ecoin
  3. Crypto Contest January 4: Dynamic Trading Rights
  4. Crypto Contest January 5: Aidos Kuneen
  5. Crypto Contest January 6: Status Report XXXVI
  6. Crypto Contest January 8: SunContract
  7. Crypto Contest January 9: BlockStamp
  8. Crypto Contest January 16: Dash
  9. Crypto Contest January 17: Super Bitcoin
  10. Crypto Contest January 22: Origin Protocol
  11. Crypto Contest January 23: Play X
  12. Crypto Contest January 24: Suretly
  13. Crypto Contest January 27: Bitcoin Gold
  14. Crypto Contest January 29: SpaceChain
  15. Crypto Contest January 30: Zcoin
  16. Crypto Contest January 31: Zcash

In these contests the analysis was wrong:

  1. Crypto Contest January 1: FNB Protocol
  2. Crypto Contest January 10: indaHash
  3. Crypto Contest January 15: Silverway
  4. Crypto Contest January 19: Lympo

How did the previous months' analysis go?

From April 1, 2017 to January 31, 2020, the analysis has been correct 214 times, wrong 234 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 545 times. nimet-n.png

How did the voters do in January 2020?

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 13 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 42% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

  1. Crypto Contest January 1: FNB Protocol
  2. Crypto Contest January 3: Ecoin
  3. Crypto Contest January 4: Dynamic Trading Rights
  4. Crypto Contest January 5: Aidos Kuneen
  5. Crypto Contest January 6: Status Report XXXVI
  6. Crypto Contest January 9: BlockStamp
  7. Crypto Contest January 14: Bitcoin
  8. Crypto Contest January 19: Lympo
  9. Crypto Contest January 23: Play X
  10. Crypto Contest January 24: Suretly
  11. Crypto Contest January 29: SpaceChain
  12. Crypto Contest January 30: Zcoin
  13. Crypto Contest January 31: Zcash

How did the voters do earlier?

Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February 2018.

nimet-n2.png

The crowd accuracy improved from December 2019.

Conclusion

Congratulations to the winners!

How will the crypto contests perform in February?

Prizes

I will be giving upvotes to the correct answers with minimum reputation of 25.

Rules

This poll will expire in one week. Only one vote per person.

Please select one of the three choices.

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Cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the February 2020 contests (52.94%) 18 / 34
52.94% Complete (success)
The analysis is wrong most of the time in the February 2020 contests (32.35%) 11 / 34
32.35% Complete (success)
The analysis is right most of the time in the February 2020 contests (14.71%) 5 / 34
14.71% Complete (success)

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